Volume 7 · The Long Afternoon · Essay 289

Valence-Instrumentality-Expectancy Theory

The Valence-Instrumentality-Expectancy theory will not change your day, but it may change what your day means. That is not nothing.

What the theory says, finally, is that people are predictable in their unpredictability. That is useful knowledge. It lets you forgive more and be surprised less.

The idea is simple, and like most simple ideas it is easy to nod at and hard to use. The nod is free. The use costs attention, every day, in small change.

An old house being emptied for sale teaches more than a philosophy seminar. Every drawer argues that things were never the point; every locked trunk disagrees.

In the end, life asks only whether we were awake while it happened. And when you forget it — you will — the world will remind you. It is a faithful tutor.